2026年2月25日 星期三

2026年元月份溫哥華房地產市場報告 Y2026 Jan - The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports

 卑詩省溫哥華 – 2026年2月3日 – 去年的市場趨勢在1月延續,


大溫哥華地區*透過MLS®登記的房屋銷售量比去年同期下降了28.5%,

為今年開局的平靜市場奠定了基礎。

大溫哥華房地產經紀人協會 (GVR) 報告稱,該地區2026年1月的住宅銷售總量為
1,107套,比2025年1月的1,552套下降了28.7%

這比過去10年的季節平均值(1,602套)低了30.9%。

「單看1月份的銷售數據,確實令人擔憂,但重要的是要結合過去幾年的情況來看。去年的銷售總額是二十多年來最低的之一,因此,1月份的銷售數據同樣是二十多年來第四低也就不足為奇了。」GVR首席經濟學家兼數據分析副總裁安德魯·利斯表示。 “市場動能是一個緩慢演變的過程,從很多方面來看,1月份的數據表明市場仍在緩慢地向著某種新的常態發展。”

2026年1月,大溫哥華地區透過MLS®(多重上市服務系統)新增掛牌出售的獨立屋、連棟別墅和公寓共有5157套。與2025年1月的5566套相比,下降了7.3%。但這數字比十年平均(4,318套)高出19.4%。

目前大溫哥華地區MLS®系統上掛牌出售的房產總數為12,628套,較2025年1月(11,494套)增加9.9%。這一數字比過去十年的季節性平均值(9,153套)高出38%。

2026年1月,所有獨立屋、連棟房屋和公寓的銷售與掛牌比例為9.1%。以房產類型劃分,獨立屋的比例為6.7%,連棟房屋為11.1%,公寓為10.3%。

歷史數據分析表明,當該比例持續低於12%時,房價會面臨下行壓力;而當該比例連續數月超過20%時,房價往往會面臨上行壓力。

「我們近期對2026年的預測表明,今年在許多方面可能與2025年類似,

我們預計銷售將持續低迷。加之賣家仍急於掛牌出售,庫存量
可能仍將高於歷史平均水平,因此,我們預期房價
將在今年年底基本保持不變,」利斯表示。「隨著消費者逐漸適應持續的政治和經濟不確定性,

我們預計一定程度的被壓抑的需求將在某個時候重新進入市場。

這種情況是否會在2026年發生仍是未知數,我們將

密切關注市場,尋找改善的跡象。 」

大溫哥華地區所有住宅物業的MLS®房屋價格指數綜合基準價格目前為1,101,900加幣。

這比2025年1月下降了5.7%,比2025年12月下降了1.2%。

2026年1月獨立屋銷量達300套,比2025年1月的380套下降了21.1%。

獨立屋基準價格為1,850,800美元。這比2025年1月下降了7.3%,比2025年12月下降了1.5%。

2026年1月公寓銷售量達到554套,比2025年1月的846套下降了34.5%。

公寓基準價格為704,600美元。

這比2025年1月下降了5.9%,比2025年12月下降了0.8%。

2026年1月聯排別墅的銷售總量為246套,比2025年1月的321套下降了23.4%。

聯排別墅的基準價格為1,043,400美元。比2025年1月下降了5.4%,比2025年12月下降了1.2%。

VANCOUVER, BC – February 3, 2026 – Last year’s market trends continued in January as

home sales registered on the MLS® in Metro Vancouver* were 28.5 per cent lower than last

year, setting the year off to a quieter start.

The Greater Vancouver REALTORS® (GVR) reports that residential sales in the region totalled

1,107 in January 2026, a 28.7 per cent decrease from the 1,552 sales recorded in January 2025.

This was 30.9 per cent below the 10-year seasonal average (1,602).

“On their own, the January sales appear alarming, but it’s important to put these figures in the

context of the past few years. Last year ended with one of the lowest sales totals in over two

decades, and so it’s not surprising that the January sales figures were fourth slowest in over

two decades as well,” said Andrew Lis, GVR’s chief economist and vice-president, data

analytics. “Market momentum is a slowly evolving force, and in many ways, the January

figures represent a market that continues slowly evolving to what may be a new normal.”

There were 5,157 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the

Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in January 2026. This represents a 7.3

per cent decrease compared to the 5,566 properties listed in January 2025. This was 19.4 per

cent above the 10-year seasonal average (4,318).

The total number of properties currently listed for sale on the MLS® system in Metro

Vancouver is 12,628, a 9.9 per cent increase compared to January 2025 (11,494). This is 38 per

cent above the 10-year seasonal average (9,153).

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio

for January 2026 is 9.1 per cent. By property type, the ratio is 6.7 per cent for detached homes,

11.1 per cent for attached, and 10.3 per cent for apartments.

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the

ratio dips below 12 per cent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience

upward pressure when it surpasses 20 per cent over several months.

“Our recent 2026 forecast suggests this year is likely to resemble 2025 on many fronts, and

we expect sales to remain tepid. When paired with sellers remaining eager to list, inventory

will likely remain elevated relative to historical averages and, as a result, we expect prices tofinish the year relatively unchanged,” Lis said. “As consumers adjust to the ongoing backdrop

of political and economic uncertainty, we expect a degree of pent-up demand to re-enter the

market at some point. Whether it will happen in 2026 remains an open question, and we’ll be

watching the market closely for signs of improvement.”

The MLS® Home Price Index composite benchmark price for all residential properties in

Metro Vancouver is currently $1,101,900. This represents a 5.7 per cent decrease over January

2025 and a 1.2 per cent decrease compared to December 2025.

Sales of detached homes in January 2026 reached 300, a 21.1 per cent decrease from the 380

detached sales recorded in January 2025. The benchmark price for a detached home is

$1,850,800. This represents a 7.3 per cent decrease from January 2025 and a 1.5 per cent

decrease compared to December 2025.

Sales of apartment homes reached 554 in January 2026, a 34.5 per cent decrease compared

to the 846 sales in January 2025. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $704,600.

This represents a 5.9 per cent decrease from January 2025 and a 0.8 per cent decrease

compared to December 2025.

Attached home sales in January 2026 totalled 246, a 23.4 per cent decrease compared to the

321 sales in January 2025. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,043,400. This represents

a 5.4 per cent decrease from January 2025 and a 1.2 per cent decrease compared to December 2025.